Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $137,868$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{158,943.0}{1 + 10^{-0.006 (t - 156.5)}}\) (asimptote \(158,943.0\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,108$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,779.9}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,779.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $107,865$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $835,901$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32,562$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{28,746.8}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(28,746.8\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $652,963$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $546,952$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{372,842.1}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 74.9)}}\) (asimptote \(372,842.1\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $42,605$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,038.3}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 45.8)}}\) (asimptote \(41,038.3\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $501,922$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $333,940$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{260,300.6}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 48.2)}}\) (asimptote \(260,300.6\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,061$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,968.2}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.1)}}\) (asimptote \(34,968.2\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $62,576$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $96,677$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{89,375.4}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 98.3)}}\) (asimptote \(89,375.4\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,892$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,773.6}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,773.6\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $90,785$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $693,603$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32,463$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{30,141.4}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 40.6)}}\) (asimptote \(30,141.4\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $559,079$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-02 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $155,465$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,574$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,183.2}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 39.8)}}\) (asimptote \(6,183.2\))
Start date 2020-03-02 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $144,284$ on 2020-10-07
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $19,413$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20,038.4}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 144.7)}}\) (asimptote \(20,038.4\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $772$ on 2020-10-07
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{784.9}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 118.5)}}\) (asimptote \(784.9\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,892$ on 2020-10-07
